Reading: Motley Fool Advisor shows 964% average return, but the number has limits

Motley Fool Advisor shows 964% average return, but the number has limits

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Motley Fool's Stock Advisor said as of August 27, 2026 that its average return since the service launched in February 2002 had reached 964%. That is the number now being used to sell the service, which costs $199 a year and has drawn more than 500,000 premium members.

The headline figure matters because it looks enormous beside the S&P 500's 213% gain over the same span. For anyone searching Motley Fool Advisor today, the question is not whether the service has had winners. It is whether the return being advertised reflects what a person would have made after joining, paying for access and following the picks over time.

The answer depends on how the math is built. Stock Advisor's 964% figure is a time-weighted average of all recommendations across 24 years of stock picks. That method is commonly used to judge stock selection because it strips out the effect of cash flows and treats each recommendation as part of one long record. In plain terms, it measures the service's picking skill, not a subscriber's personal account balance.

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The numbers behind that average also show how much the record leans on a few giant winners. Nvidia, recommended in April 2005, was up 128,583% as of August 27, 2026. Amazon, recommended in September 2002, was up 33,901%. Netflix, recommended in December 2004, was up 43,831%. Disney, recommended in June 2002, was up 6,158%. Those gains help explain how a service can post a 964% average even when many picks do far less.

That is where the fine print matters most. The reported return is a simple arithmetic average of individual pick returns, and it does not model what a real investor actually experienced. A subscriber who joined in 2015 and never held Nvidia, for example, would have done something much closer to the S&P 500 than to 964%. A money-weighted return for a real subscriber would almost certainly be lower or higher depending on when the person joined, which recommendations were followed and how long the shares were held.

That gap between the service average and the investor result is the whole story. The 964% number is real, and it is striking. But it is also a composite of 24 years of picks, lifted by a handful of outsize winners and calculated in a way that tells you how the service performed, not what every member walked away with. For a would-be subscriber, that is the number worth keeping in view before deciding whether $199 a year is justified.

The sharper question now is not whether Stock Advisor has a strong record. It does. It is whether the person considering the subscription understands that the advertised return is a benchmark for the newsletter, not a promise for the portfolio.

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