Denmark emerged as the front-runner in a reworked forecast for Eurovision Semi Final 2 in Vienna on Thursday, after Eurovoix adjusted its annual Eurojury results to show what could happen tonight. Australia trailed by nine points in the jury-based prediction, with Cyprus third, Czechia fourth and Malta fifth.
The forecast was published on the day the second semi final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 takes place, with Saturday’s final still to come. Eurovoix said the revision was meant to isolate the countries competing tonight, while also including Austria, France and the United Kingdom because they already have places in the final and a voting right in the semi final.
Under the restructured jury data, Denmark received six sets of 12 points and Australia collected seven, but the overall balance still left the Danes in first. Luxembourg picked up two sets of 12 points, while Malta secured Bulgaria’s 12 points, Bulgaria got a 12 from Romania, and Cyprus took the final top mark from Albania. Norway, Ukraine, Armenia, Latvia and Azerbaijan were projected to miss the final in that forecast.
The picture changed when Eurovoix redid its online vote forecast with the same voting pool. Denmark stayed in front, this time 13 points ahead of Australia, while Albania climbed from sixth to third, Cyprus slipped to fourth and Romania completed the top five. Denmark received 12 points from Australia, Cyprus, Armenia, Norway, France, the United Kingdom and the Rest of the World, while Australia, Cyprus and Albania all gathered multiple top marks.
The combined jury-and-online forecast still favored Denmark to finish first, with Australia second in both sets of votes. Cyprus was projected to take third overall, Albania fourth and Czechia fifth. The split between the two models is the only real tension in the numbers: the jury forecast left Albania outside the top four, while the online forecast pushed it up to third and sent Romania into fifth.
Eurovoix originally revealed the full Eurojury results at the start of this month, then restructured them for Thursday’s forecast by counting only votes from the countries competing tonight, plus Austria, France and the United Kingdom. In some cases, smaller jury totals were topped up with aggregated scores at the bottom end to keep each set complete. The result is not a final verdict on the night in Vienna, but a tightly focused picture of how the second semi final could break when the votes are counted.
