The Tampa Bay Lightning are backed to beat the Detroit Red Wings in a 3-way moneyline pick at 1.70 when the teams meet at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday 15 November at 01:00. It is a home matchup shaped by momentum, with Tampa Bay riding eight straight victories in its own building and Detroit arriving after five losses in a row.
The price implies a 58.8% chance of landing, which is enough for a lean but not a certainty. That matters because the Lightning have already shown they can handle this opponent at home, winning 4-2 the last time the Red Wings visited Benchmark International Arena and taking four straight games in the matchup overall.
Detroit’s latest setback was a 5-4 loss to the Florida Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena, a game in which Lucas Raymond was one of four Red Wings players to reach the scoresheet. The broader numbers do not soften the picture much. The Red Wings have just 3 wins in their last 10 games, are scoring 2.6 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, and have a 14.7% powerplay efficiency over that stretch while giving up 3.4 goals from 26.3 shots.
Tampa Bay arrives with a sharper profile. The Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1 on the road at Nationwide Arena in their last game, with Brandon Hagel scoring twice and Jake Guentzel adding the other goal. The line has also leaned on Nikita Kucherov, who has 15 points, including 4 goals and 11 assists, over the last 10 games and has finished with at least one assist in 7 of the past 10.
There is still a reason this does not read like a lock. Betting sites are willing to back Tampa Bay, but only at a price that leaves room for doubt, and the Lightning have to justify that by continuing the form they have shown at home and in recent head-to-head meetings. Detroit has enough attack to make the game uncomfortable, yet the stronger recent record, the home streak and Kucherov’s playmaking give Tampa Bay the clearer path.
The same form line points to a second angle in the player market: a Player Assists wager on Kucherov at 1.54. If Tampa Bay controls the puck the way it has at home, that prop fits the way the Lightning have been winning, with Kucherov still acting as the link between possession and finish.
Sunday’s meeting is the next chance to see whether Detroit can break the pattern or whether Tampa Bay extends it again. For now, the numbers point in one direction, and they point there with enough force to make the Lightning the side to follow.
