Week 9 expert picks for Packers Vs Patriots landed on a narrow spread, with predictions ranging from a Packers 27-23 win to a Patriots 24-20 upset. The split itself tells the story: this is being treated as a one-score game, not a mismatch.
That is why the matchup is drawing attention now. It comes with both teams riding strong stretches, and the forecasts lean on the idea that each side can score enough to stay in it while the defenses keep the total down. Dave Richard called it a low-scoring contest with two good defenses, even as both teams have quarterbacks who can attack deep.
Brooke Cersosimo was among the few who went against the grain, taking the Patriots 24-20. Her case starts with numbers that matter in a game like this: the Packers and Patriots had each won four of their last five games in 2026, Jordan Love led the NFL with 21 completions of 25-plus yards and 1,253 downfield pass yards, and Drake Maye sat third in both categories while leading the NFL with four pass touchdowns of 40-plus yards. She also pointed to a more troubling edge for Green Bay, noting the Packers' run game was averaging just 60.6 rush yards per game and 2.9 yards per carry, while the New England defense was allowing 92.6 rush yards per game.
The rest of the picks leaned the other way. Jeremy Bergman took the Packers 20-17, Gennaro Filice had Green Bay 27-23, Bobby Kownack chose the Packers 24-23, and Dan Parr went with a 26-24 Packers win. Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenburg stayed on the Patriots side, but Eisenburg framed it as the definition of a coin flip at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, saying the kicking game could decide it and that Andy Borregales could be the difference on a game-winner. He also noted the Packers had the advantage of extra rest after playing last Thursday, while the Patriots had to rally to beat the Dolphins the previous week.
That leaves the cleanest read on this Week 9 matchup exactly where the picks landed: close, tense, and hard to separate. The broadcasts were already lined up for Sunday at 3 PM with the Patriots Pregame Show, the Rob Gronkowski HOF ceremony at halftime, and a postgame show after the final whistle, but the bigger question is whether the game itself will match the predictions and turn on one kick, one deep throw, or one late stop.
