Noah Kahan's sold-out show at Nationals Park in Washington DC is still on for tonight, even with a small chance that rain could drift across the outdoor concert. The event is billed as rain or shine, and Kahan is expected to take the stage at 9 p.m.
The forecast is not clean, but it is not severe enough to push the night off the calendar. The National Weather Service is calling for a 20% chance of rain tonight at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport, about 5 miles away, while Accuweather says there could be pop-up thunderstorms after dark and projects 0.05 inches of rain during the day and 0.04 inches tonight. Capital Weather is also calling for a few showers or storms in the afternoon, which means fans camping outside Nationals Park could get some rain before the music starts.
That is enough to put some listeners on edge after last week's Noah Kahan concert at Citi Field in Queens, New York, was canceled because of inclement weather. Tonight's setting is different. The show in DC remains scheduled, and temperatures are expected to drop to around 80 degrees when Kahan goes on, then into the mid 70s two hours later, with humidity at 67%.
The uncertainty is not whether the concert exists. It is whether showers will actually reach Nationals Park during the performance. The weather readings leave room for that possibility, but not enough to change the plan. For a crowd heading to an outdoor sold-out show, the better bet is to expect damp ground, not a cancellation.
Metro said its trains will be operational until midnight tonight, and if the concert runs beyond normal service hours, people should make their way to Navy Yard-Ballpark station immediately after the show. That makes the practical answer for fans a simple one: the concert is still happening, the weather may brush it, and the night should still end with Noah Kahan onstage in Washington DC.

