The 2026 Genesis Scottish Open starts Thursday at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland, and Scottie Scheffler is the player to beat. Listed at +550 at FanDuel Sportsbook, Scheffler opens as the favorite in a field that also includes Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and Matt Fitzpatrick.
That early tee time matters because the tournament begins at 2 a.m. ET and arrives as the final tune-up before the Open Championship. Scheffler finished eighth at this event last year, while McIlroy is back at +1000 after winning it in 2023.
SportsLine is trying to put numbers behind the noise. Its proprietary model runs every PGA Tour event 10,000 times, and it says it has hit 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, its fifth Masters in a row, last year's PGA Championship and last year's Open Championship. On that same math, Scheffler remains the favorite for the Scottish Open 2026, but not every big name comes out clean.
Rahm, listed at +1600, is one of the favorites on the board, yet the model sees him stumbling and barely cracking the top 10. That is the kind of disconnect that makes these markets worth watching before a shot is hit. At the other end, Wyndham Clark, the U.S. Open champion, is projected to rise up the leaderboard despite odds of +2700, and another longshot priced around +4000 is also targeted for a late surge toward the top.
SportsLine has not shown the full projected leaderboard in the information provided, so the first real answer comes Thursday at The Renaissance Club. If the model is right, Scheffler is the safest pick, McIlroy is the closest challenger, and the board may be giving Rahm too much credit.
