Reading: Banana Ball watch: Jackass: Best and Last faces a low opening forecast

Banana Ball watch: Jackass: Best and Last faces a low opening forecast

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Jackass: Best and Last is heading toward theaters with a box office forecast that would mark the franchise’s softest opening yet. Box Office Theory is projecting the film to debut in the $14 million to $19 million range when Paramount releases it on June 26, 2026.

That projection matters because this is being sold as the final installment after 25 years of stunts, and the series has long relied on a loyal audience willing to show up for its mix of pain, chaos and prank-heavy spectacle. Johnny Knoxville is part of the goodbye, and the film is being positioned as one last big-screen sendoff rather than a reset.

The numbers make the contrast hard to miss. Jackass: The Movie opened to $22.7 million in 2002 and went on to make just shy of $80 million worldwide. Jackass Forever opened to $23 million in 2022 and finished with $80.5 million worldwide. It also cost $10 million to make, a reminder of why the franchise has usually worked for the studio: the budgets are modest, and the audience is dependable enough to turn a relatively small opening into a profit.

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This time, the ceiling itself is the problem. Even the high end of the new forecast, $19 million, would still land below every previous Jackass opening. That is the awkward part of a farewell campaign built around “one final fling at the big screen” and a “joyously raucous celebration” of the franchise’s mischievous camaraderie. The movie is supposed to feel like a victory lap, but the tracking suggests a smaller crowd may be waiting for the curtain call.

Jackass: Best and Last is also leaning on a familiar formula, with all-new stunts alongside the greatest hits and biggest laughs from the past. That blend may help it with longtime fans, but it also shows how much the franchise is drawing on its own history as it closes out. It opens against DC's Supergirl, adding another layer of competition on a release date that now looks more important than celebratory.

The real test is not whether the franchise can still attract attention. It can. The question is whether the final chapter can do what the earlier films did and turn that attention into a stronger opening than this one is currently forecast to get. If the projection holds, the goodbye will still happen, but it will arrive as the lowest opening in the series.

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