Brazil has been installed as the -330 favorite to win Group C at FanDuel Sportsbook for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, a projection that puts the five-time champions first in a section with Morocco, Scotland and Haiti. The group-stage forecast is the cleanest early read on how Brazil is expected to handle a tournament that will be played across Mexico, Canada and the United States.
That is why searches for who won last world cup are colliding with the next one. Brazil last lifted the trophy in 1994 in the United States, and it enters 2026 with a path that looks manageable on paper but is not without a sharp edge: its opener is against Morocco, the one true test in a group most models still see it controlling.
The projection has Brazil finishing first in Group C, with Morocco second, Haiti third and Scotland fourth. In the expanded 48-team format, that matters more than it once would have. Eight third-place teams will move into the 32-team knockout round, which gives strong teams more room to survive the group stage, but also makes every result in the first three games feel more valuable because the margin for error is wider and the reward for finishing near the top is still clearer.
Brazil’s roster also helps explain why it is favored. Vinicius Junior is near the top of the list of player-of-the-tournament candidates, and the attack includes Matheus Cunha, Raphinha and Endrick. Endrick, 19, arrived at the conversation after a successful loan spell at Lyon following a difficult start at Real Madrid, a reminder that Brazil’s talent pool is not just deep but still changing in real time.
Still, the opener against Morocco is where the tidy forecast gets tested. Brazil is expected to win the group, but it opens against a side projected to finish second, and that first match is the only one in which the favorite can be forced to answer an immediate question before the group table starts to settle. If Brazil handles that night, the path to first place should stay open; if it does not, the group could look less like a formality and more like the first real pressure point of the tournament.
