SportsLine’s model has put together a four-leg longshot parlay for the 2026 Memorial Tournament after running 10,000 simulations of the event, and the payout it cited is the kind that can stop a bettor mid-scroll: more than $80,000 on a $10 bet. The tournament tees off Thursday at Muirfield Village, where a difficult scoring test has kept the winning number low enough that the last three champions did not break 10-under-par.
That is why the app search traffic around Memorial this week has a betting edge to it as much as a golf one. Scottie Scheffler enters as the +310 favorite, while Patrick Cantlay, a two-time Memorial winner, sits at +3300 outright and +435 for a top-five finish, a reminder that the course and the board do not always point in the same direction.
SportsLine said the model behind the picks was built by DFS pro Mike McClure and has been hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. The company said it has nailed 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, which it said was the fifth Masters in a row it got right, along with last year’s PGA Championship and last year’s Open Championship. That track record is the backdrop for this latest Memorial read, and it is the reason the parlay is drawing attention before the first tee shot is struck in Dublin, Ohio.
One leg is public. Justin Thomas is the model’s play over Ben Griffin at +100, and the numbers help explain why: Griffin has only three top-25 finishes in his last 13 individual events, while Thomas has finished in the top 15 in each of his last three tournaments. The rest of the parlay is less visible. SportsLine said the model picked an outright winner and three props priced at +450 or better, but it did not disclose those names in the information released, leaving the full ticket hidden even as the price tag on the combined wager is clear.
That matters because Muirfield Village has a way of shrinking margin for error. When the last three winners are all stuck below 10-under-par, a few hot stretches can matter more than a season’s worth of reputation, and that is where a longshot parlay can look smarter than it sounds. The question now is not whether SportsLine likes the course challenge. It is whether the rest of the model’s unseen legs can cash the kind of payout it is advertising before the Memorial’s first round begins.
