Dimers went live with its French Open picks for Sunday, May 31, 2026, and put Andrey Rublev vs. Jakub Mensik at the top of the board. The model’s strongest play was under 39.5 total games at -122, a number built for bettors looking for one clear market before the men’s draw moved on.
The pick was listed at 12:11 p.m. ET, and the model assigned it a 57.2% probability with a 2.3% edge. Ryan Leaver, who uses advanced statistical models and simulations to make predictions, framed Rublev and Mensik as part of the day’s leading tennis action, which is why the matchup drew attention so quickly among French Open bettors searching for a specific edge rather than a broad take on the slate.
That matters because the recommendation was not just a lean; it was the strongest play Dimers found for the tennis card. The French Open men’s match between Rublev and Mensik offered a clean total, a listed price, and a probability that gave the bet a concrete case at publication, with the odds and projections marked correct at the time they were posted.
Even so, the number comes with the kind of risk tennis bettors know well. A match can still stretch through long sets and extended rallies that push totals higher, which is exactly why a line under 39.5 games can look tidy on paper and still leave room for pressure on the over once the points start piling up. Dimers backed the under anyway, making it the clearest expression of its model’s view of the matchup.
For bettors following the French Open slate on Sunday, the next question is not how the model got there, but whether the match rewarded it. Dimers gave Rublev vs. Mensik as its top play, and everything after that depends on whether the court turned a statistical edge into a winning ticket.

