Ludovit Klein is favored to beat Tofiq Musayev in the featured prelim at UFC Fight Night in Belgrade, Serbia, and the matchup lands at a sharp edge today because the betting line backs the more established UFC name while Musayev arrives with momentum from a March win. Klein is listed at -270 on DraftKings Sportsbook, with Musayev at +220, a gap that reflects both experience and the way the numbers frame this fight.
Klein, 31, is 24-5-1 with 17 finishes and comes in off a victory over Mateusz Rebecki. Musayev is 23-6 with 20 finishes, beat Ignacio Bahamondes by unanimous decision in March and is 1-1 in the UFC after entering the promotion in June 2025 following runs in Rizin and Bellator. That recent arrival matters because it puts his momentum against Klein’s longer UFC track record, and the line on DraftKings Sportsbook makes clear which side the market trusts more going in.
The matchup is not just about name value. Klein lands 3.76 significant strikes per minute to Musayev’s 1.84, with a 53 percent accuracy rate against 46 percent, and he also carries a three-inch reach advantage at 72 inches to 69. Musayev, though, averages 2.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than Klein’s 1.37, which gives him a second path if the striking stays tight. Four of Klein’s previous five wins have come by decision, and the over-under is set at 2.5 rounds, with the over at -175 and the under at +135.
That is where the fight gets interesting. Klein’s 76 percent takedown defense gives him a way to blunt Musayev’s best route, but Musayev’s output and finishing record suggest he does not need many openings to change the pace. The betting market is leaning on Klein’s better UFC experience and cleaner striking numbers, yet Musayev has already shown enough in March to make this more than a routine favorite’s assignment. The first real answer comes when they meet, and the result will tell whether Klein’s edge is the kind that holds up under pressure or the kind that disappears once Musayev gets his hands on him.
