New York City FC enters Friday night as a 1-to-2 money line favorite over Toronto FC, and the market has little patience for a matchup that keeps tilting one way. The teams meet at 7:30 p.m. ET, with New York City FC trying to extend a six-game winning streak in the series.
That search interest makes sense because New York City FC has been winning and Toronto FC has been stuck in place. New York City FC has 25 points and has won twice in a row, while Toronto is 3-7-7 and has not scored as many as two goals in a match since losing 4-2 to Inter Miami on May 9, a span that now covers every game since then.
Matt Freese is a big reason New York City FC keeps drawing attention. He stopped four of five on-target shots in last weekend's 3-1 win over Chicago Fire at Yankee Stadium, a result that also featured Malachi Jones scoring his first goal since 2024. New York City FC has carried a 55.4% average ball-possession rate, which helps explain why it has been able to control games and keep opponents chasing.
Toronto FC has tried to add help, with Transfermarkt reporting Tuesday that the club had signed Niklas Dorsch from Heidenheim, but there is no clear word on when he will be available to play. That uncertainty hangs over a side that already looks short of ideas: Dániel Sallói, Toronto FC's leading striker, has three assists, and Malik Henry has no goals and no assists. New York City FC has won six straight meetings, yet Toronto remains a live underdog in the betting market, a sign that the line is weighing more than just recent head-to-head history.
Friday gives Toronto a chance to break the pattern, but the numbers point the other way. New York City FC has the form, the possession edge and the better recent results, while Toronto FC still has to prove it can threaten a defense that has been in command.
