The St. Louis Cardinals are the moneyline pick for Monday night’s Rangers vs Cardinals game, even with Jacob deGrom on the mound for Texas. The bet runs against one of the best pitchers of his generation, but it leans on Michael McGreevy’s home work and deGrom’s uneven month away from Arlington.
That is why the matchup is drawing attention now. DeGrom is 3-4 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP this year, but his May splits were stark: 16 earned runs in 15.1 innings across three road starts, then only two earned runs in 13 innings in his two home outings. On paper, he still looks like a frontline arm. On the road in May, he did not pitch like one.
McGreevy gives St. Louis a different kind of confidence. He is 3-4 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 2026, and his 1.93 home ERA stands out in a game at Busch Stadium. The right-hander also absorbed nine earned runs in May, so this is not a spotless profile. But the Cardinals are still over.500, and that matters because they have done it after an offseason in which they traded Sonny Gray and two of their biggest bats.
That reset was supposed to point the club toward a rebuild. Instead, St. Louis keeps finding ways to stay in the race, helped in part by moments like Ivan Herrera’s three-run walk-off homer against Pittsburgh on May 19. The Rangers, meanwhile, bring an average offense and a strong rotation into a night that could easily turn into a low-scoring game, which is why one preview called it a pitcher's duel.
Even so, the real question is whether deGrom can carry his road form from one of the best resumes in baseball back into a cleaner outing Monday night. If he does not, the Cardinals’ moneyline case becomes more than a contrarian pick; it becomes the clearest read on a game that looks tighter than the name on the visiting pitcher’s jersey suggests.
