![French Open bets today: One pick for Sunday ft. Mensik vs. Rublev [5/31/2026]](https://www.mogazmasr.com/uploads/2026/06/01/mensik-90a542c6_800w.webp)
Dimers made one of its strongest French Open calls for Sunday, May 31, 2026: under 39.5 total games in Andrey Rublev vs. Jakub Mensik. The model put the bet at -122, gave it a 57.2% probability and said the edge was 2.3%.
That is why Ryan Leaver’s model-driven picks are drawing attention today. He writes predictions using advanced statistical models and simulations, and this one stood out across Sunday’s tennis slate as the top play by edge in the Mensik match, even before the first point was struck at Roland Garros. For bettors scanning the board on May 31, the appeal is simple: a specific number, a specific price and a specific probability, all attached to a men’s French Open match that mattered right away.
Dimers said its odds and probabilities were accurate at the time of publication, with the under 39.5 games selection presented as the strongest play on the card. A matching recommendation on the same matchup also appeared as Jakub Menšík in Rublev match drew Dimers’ top French Open betting edge, and the event itself had already been the subject of earlier attention in Rublev vs. Mensik under 39.5 games is Dimers’ top French Open play. That framing put the focus on the number, not on who was expected to win outright.
The catch is that the pick was presented as the best edge without the result that would settle it. The model pointed to value at -122 and a 57.2% hit rate, but the writeup did not say whether under 39.5 total games actually cashed after Rublev and Mensik took the court. For readers following the wager, that missing outcome is the one fact that matters most now.
That leaves the recommendation in a very specific place: useful as a pre-match betting signal, incomplete as a final story. A separate profile, Jakub Mensik French Open Collapse after marathon win in brutal heat, shows how quickly the narrative around a player can change in Paris, but this pick stood on its own numbers. Until the final tally is known, the edge remains a model claim, not a settled result.
