Claire Liu meets Moyuka Uchijima in the first round of the 2026 French Open on Monday, a matchup that opens the second day of first-round play at Roland Garros. The winner moves into the round of 64 as the draw starts to narrow from 128 players.
Liu enters as the betting-market favorite, and the numbers behind that case are hard to ignore. The American is ranked 182, 72 spots below Uchijima at 110, but she has won eight straight matches and nine of her last 10. She also came through French Open qualifying with three wins without losing a set, which gives her a clean transition into the main draw.
That run matters because this is not just a ranking play. Liu has been winning matches in a way Uchijima has not lately, and the odds reflect it. The best price listed for Liu to win is 1.79 at 1xBet, making the moneyline the recommended play in this matchup. For bettors, the question is whether current form can outweigh the gap in ranking.
Uchijima’s path into Paris was built on a strong stretch of her own. She won the WTA 125 Saint-Malo event and had put together a five-match winning streak before the slide began. Since then, she has lost three straight, including last week in Rabat, with defeats to Alycia Parks, Kaja Juvan and Rebeka Masarova. That is the friction in the matchup: a player with the higher ranking but the colder recent results.
The first round began on Sunday and will end on Tuesday, so this meeting lands early in the tournament when form can still matter more than reputation. Liu has not only been winning; she has been winning cleanly, and her qualifier run suggests she is already comfortable on the surface and in the setting. Uchijima has the ranking edge, but Liu arrives with the sharper recent record and the market support to match it.
If the form lines hold, Liu looks like the side most likely to advance. For a first-round bet in Paris, the moneyline points in her direction.
