Marcos Giron is the projected winner when he meets Yibing Wu in the first round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Monday. The match is scheduled to begin at 11:10 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced tennis model gives Giron a 58% chance of beating Wu, and its top play for the match is Marcos Giron to win. That makes Giron the side the model rates most strongly in a first-round meeting that opens his French Open campaign against Wu.
The preview is built around simulation results and sportsbook odds, with Giron coming out as the most likely winner. For bettors following the matchup, the key number is the 58% projection, which points to a modest edge rather than a runaway forecast.
Wu and Giron arrive at the start of the tournament with the same immediate task: survive and move on. The prediction leans one way, but first-round tennis can turn quickly, and the model’s edge is only a measure of probability, not a guarantee.
What matters next is simple. When play begins Monday morning in ET, the market will have a live test of whether the forecast on Marcos Giron holds up on court.

