The Atlanta Dream were set to host the Phoenix Mercury on May 24 at Gateway Center, with Atlanta able to move to a league-best 4-1 with a victory. The matchup arrives with the Dream having covered the spread in each of their last three games, while Phoenix has seen the Over cash in nine of its past 10 games and in each of its last five.
For viewers searching for where to watch Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream, the game also carries clear form lines on both sides. Atlanta held the league’s lowest opponent 3-point percentage at 26% and had won 16 of 22 straight-up at Gateway Center in 2025, while Phoenix was attempting 24 3-pointers per game and continued to rely on volume scoring from Kahleah Copper, who was shooting 34% from the field on the season.
Allisha Gray has been Atlanta’s most reliable early-season scoring threat, with 24 or more points in three of her four outings this year. She came off a game in which the Dream shot 55% from the field against the Dallas Wings, another sign that Atlanta has started to find a rhythm offensively as it tries to keep its place near the top of the standings.
Phoenix, meanwhile, entered the matchup with different pressure points. The Mercury were 2-8 straight up in their past 10 games dating back to last season, even after a Finals run a year ago, and Copper’s shot load has been extreme. She had taken 75 shots across her past four games, including the first four points against the Toronto Tempo earlier in the week and the first basket in Thursday’s loss to the Los Angeles Sparks. That volume has not yet produced efficient scoring, but it has kept her at the center of Phoenix’s attack.
The injury list adds another layer. Mercury guard Monique Akoa Makani was listed as questionable, Sami Whitcomb was listed as out, and Dream forward Brionna Jones was listed as out. Those absences matter in a game built around pace, perimeter shots and the kind of scoring stretches that have already pushed Phoenix totals upward. Atlanta’s defensive numbers and home record suggest the Dream enter with the cleaner edge, but Phoenix’s shot volume and recent Over trends point to a game that could still turn into a fast one at Gateway Center.
What happens next is straightforward: Atlanta has a chance to strengthen its early claim as a title contender, while Phoenix needs cleaner efficiency from Copper and a healthier rotation to slow the slide that has followed it into this matchup.
